Raiders Record for 2008: 9-7
In the 2008 campaign, the Raiders will go 9-7, and here's how they'll do it:
AFC West: (3-3) First off, I fully expect the Raiders to lose both games to the Chargers. Last year, the Raiders split with the Broncos and, as we all remember, the loss came on a field goal Janikowski made in the final seconds which was negated by the wiley time out call by Broncos coach, Mike (insert expletives) Shanahan. Subsequently, Janikowski missed the field goal and we lost the game. Regardless, there is no reason to fear the Broncos this year. The Chiefs may or may not have made greater strides than the Raiders this off-season (everyone is praising their draft) but consider: the Raiders have two former heisman candidates at running back who are, or will essentially be, rookies this year, a safety who will be a rookie this year at his natural position, plus the rest of the actual draft picks the Raiders picked up. Not a bad "draft class." Anyway, I can't say for certain where the Raiders will get 3 wins in the division, but I do think they will get 3 of 4 against the Broncos and Chiefs and, therefore, 3-3.
AFC East. (2-2) A loss to the Pats is expected. A win against the Dolphins is expected, again this year. It's hard to imagine the Raiders not beating the Jets and, frankly, I can see them beating the Bills, too. For arguments sake though, I'll give a split on the Bills and Jets. 2-2.
NFC South. (3-1) Carolina and Atlanta should be wins. Tampa Bay and New Orleans are both more than capable of being better than, and beating, the Raiders but, if history has anything to say about it, one of these teams is going to be absolutely terrible this year, despite their talent. Whichever one happens to be the terrible one loses to the Raiders and, so, 3-1.
The two worst teams of the other two AFC divisions. (1-1) Come on. We can beat either the rapidly declining Ravens or the who-knows-what-you're-going-to-get Texans. We can. Really. Split 1-1.
Total: (9-7) The main reason I think 9-7 is possible is that, while the above is logical for reasons far beyond what I've gotten into here, there are situations where the above is conservative and others where it's optimistic. For example, I don't think it would be a huge stretch to go 3-1 in the AFC East. We could beat everyone but the Patriots. I don't think it would be impossible to go 4-2 in our division, if we start to gel, and we could also go 2-4. We might go 2-2 (instead of 3-1) in the NFC South games, but I think we could beat both the Ravens and the Texans instead of splitting them, though we've had little luck with the latter. If 8-8 is conservative and 10-6 is optimistic, then 9-7 seems realisitic.
The down side, of course, is that we likely don't make the playoffs at 9-7. The upside is considerable though. Al’s (and our) confidence in Lane Kiffin will go up, Nnamdi might be more inclined to come back, and a couple more free agents who want to go to a team on the brink might be willing to join up next off-season. I don't want to speculate on the future of the Raiders beyond this year (besides winning a whole bunch of Super Bowls), but I think things are on the up and up. 9-7 would be a great start.
Go Raiders!
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Not Bad
Good points. But we might be able to win al least one against the Chargers
Wack To Mack With The General and The Back. (J-Mac and D-Mac)
by Rayder K on
May 11, 2008 10:42 PM PDT
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I don't think so
unless our run defense has vastly improved.
"Lightning has Struck, Wearing Silver and Black"- Super Bowl XVIII
by KA1Z3R on
May 12, 2008 4:04 AM PDT
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i think that our d-line is not as bad as everyone thinks, last year they held LT until the fourth quarter when he broke loose for big gains, i think that it was because our offense couldnt stay on the field and score touchdowns next year i think the RAIDERS will match them at the running back position and beat them at the wide receivers play making our D-line better and more confident.
by raiderlalo81 on
May 12, 2008 9:57 AM PDT
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could you please
you periods. It makes it a lot easier to understand your post.
"Lightning has Struck, Wearing Silver and Black"- Super Bowl XVIII
by KA1Z3R on
May 12, 2008 2:46 PM PDT
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Greg Spires
Raiders sign defensive end Greg Spires to a one-year deal. This should help shore up the second defensive end spot.
by SamS on
May 12, 2008 9:34 AM PDT
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Nice diary
This is a nice how-they-look-on-paper breakdown. I’d say your entire forecast is reasonable, and the AFC east, worst case, should be 2-2. I think AFC west games would be closer based purely on their nature. I think that they’ll go 3-1 against AFC east and maybe lose one more game in AFC west, still keeping them about 8-8 ish.
by passionately objective on
May 12, 2008 12:32 PM PDT
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You're right.
A lot of the AFC West games last year were close or not total blowouts, just like many of our games last year. We did a lot better than many think last year. We could have won if our offense would stay on the field longer. This gives the D a break, which they desperately needed in the last quarter where most games were lost. We were good competitors throughout the game until the fourth.
"Lightning has Struck, Wearing Silver and Black"- Super Bowl XVIII
by KA1Z3R on
May 12, 2008 2:48 PM PDT
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There is such a fine line between winning and losing
in the NFL. The Raiders could easily have been a .500 team last year but thank god, they weren’t because now we have McFadden and no one else does. The experts say the Raider’s are dysfunctional, a poorly run organization etc. The simple fact is that for 5 years they have not had a QB and therein lies the poor record.
There is not a team on the schedule that the Raiders cannot beat. That includes SD and NE. In this league there are very few blowouts no matter the teams. Last year I think GB was the only team that beat the Raiders badly, and perhaps the first SD game I forget now.
I really look for LT to drop back a notch this year, he is in the dangerous zone for a runner, MVP one year, a decline the next and major drop off after that. Without LT, San Diego is a nice team with a good defense, formidable for sure but not unbeatable. The difference now is that the Raiders have a young, explosive back. In most games, teams push back and forth between the 20’s for most of the game. The winning team has a player or players who break open for a long TD either through the pass or run, and that team wins. For the most part the teams are even, but in an instant, a long run, long pass turns the game in one team’s favor. For 5 years the Raiders have not had that player. We had Moss but no one to get him the ball. The last good runner the Raiders had was Garner. Guys like Fargas are nice players between the 30’s but he doesn’t electrify anyone with his 40 yd. TD burst. 10 wins this year is well within the realm of possibility, the tools are there it is up to Kiffin and Russell to make it happen. The defense will be just fine.
by Laoren on
May 12, 2008 3:59 PM PDT
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Agreed, but...
the lack of a QB for 5 years would be considered a sign of poorly run organization to some, if not most. I think it’s universally accepted that you gotta have a general on the field.
by passionately objective on
May 12, 2008 5:35 PM PDT
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very good points
I agree with your LT theory, as it usually occurs for all RBs at this point in their careers. You could also put blame on the five years of failure on the Al Davis coaching carousel. Without a consistent system, teams will be rather dysfunctional. Now that we have a QB, a gamebreaker, a consistent coaching staff (for the most part, I mean there’s new assistants and stuff like that, but nothing major) and what should be an easy schedule, this looks to be a good year.
"Lightning has Struck, Wearing Silver and Black"- Super Bowl XVIII
by KA1Z3R on
May 12, 2008 4:35 PM PDT
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These are also
my reasons 4 success this year
Wack To Mack With The General and The Back. (J-Mac and D-Mac)
by Rayder K on
May 12, 2008 5:12 PM PDT
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LT will
not as good because of his knee injury he coming off of. This is like the first injury he has ever had to his legs, so thats why they are worried plus they lost micheal turner, who was their tough yardage guy
Wear the Silver,Wear the Black, Never Retreat, Always Attack!!!
by Jagjivan on
May 13, 2008 4:18 PM PDT
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looks like all we need is a big hit
and SD’s finished.
"Lightning has Struck, Wearing Silver and Black"- Super Bowl XVIII
by KA1Z3R on
May 13, 2008 5:11 PM PDT
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We cant rely on LT slowing up
but a missing Michael Turner should give our Run D some much needed rest, honestly i can tackle Darren Sproles his a civilian 5 7’
An above .500 season Is gonna come down to QB play,
AND if our new guys can click in a hurry the possibilities are endless
After my umbilical cord was cut, silver and black spewed out!!
by Beastusmaximus on
May 13, 2008 9:59 PM PDT
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The rookies other than McFadden
and the new comers are the ones im worried about
Wear the Silver,Wear the Black, Never Retreat, Always Attack!!!
by Jagjivan on
May 14, 2008 1:05 PM PDT
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same here
I’m always worried in the offseason about rookies and newcomers because they’re so many conerns.
"Lightning has Struck, Wearing Silver and Black"- Super Bowl XVIII
by KA1Z3R on
May 14, 2008 1:54 PM PDT
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Competition
is good. Yes, some will lose their jobs, but the best will get the spot.
Wack To Mack With The General and The Back. (J-Mac and D-Mac)
by Rayder K on
May 14, 2008 11:35 PM PDT
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Who do you think
will be the starting running back?
Wear the Silver,Wear the Black, Never Retreat, Always Attack!!!
by Jagjivan on
May 15, 2008 7:20 PM PDT
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Justin Fargas
I think he’s earned, it has the experience for it, and the skills for it. After all, you don’t want to injure your two rookie backs. And I think that with this being their first year, they have to fit in the system, adapt to the game, and just get used to the NFL. Rookies have several question marks around them, let’s go with the back that doesn’t.
"Lightning has Struck, Wearing Silver and Black"- Super Bowl XVIII
by KA1Z3R on
May 16, 2008 3:55 AM PDT
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exactly
"Lightning has Struck, Wearing Silver and Black"- Super Bowl XVIII
by KA1Z3R on
May 17, 2008 6:21 AM PDT
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