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Strengths and Weaknesses: A Look Ahead to 2010

Well Raiders fans, 2009 is drawing to a close and what a bizarre season it was.

 A dismal start with a great stretch of impressive wins to provide hope for what appeared to be a step back in the rebuilding process for the Raiders. Instead, there were many things that happened that could affect the Raiders future greatly.

 So let's delve into what we can look forward to next year in what I think will be a good year for the Raiders.

Star-divide

First off, I think we've found our solution to our long-standing QB troubles. Mr. Bruce "Almighty" Gradkowski.

 

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With a young and very inconsistent receiving corps around him, Grad was able to make some truly fantastic plays; with either his arm or his feet. Mobile both in and out of the pocket, he's the perfect QB to play behind a struggling O-Line because of how amazing he is at evading pressure. Dare I say it's on par with Roethlisberger, except we actually have a better line.

 He brought two things Russell never could and I doubt ever will, leadership and hard work. He led his men on the field, and he led them off the field. He told them where to be, what to do, and what not to do. He commanded respect and he sure got it. I've never heard such high praise from Raiders players about a Raiders QB.

 Grad also has one distinct feature to his game that makes this offense work. Great short-to-mid range accuracy. Davis wants to go deep, but when the deep routes aren't open you can trust Bruce to hit a receiver underneath.

 But one has to wonder, will Davis make Russell the starter once more? If Cable is fired (which I honestly think he won't be if he beats Cleveland and/or Baltimore), then that answer is yes. If Russell once again is the starter and Grad for some reason does not return next year, then the Raiders will be starting all over again.

 If Grad stays and competes for the starting job and earns it (keyword is earns), then the Raiders are on their way.

 

Now what of the pieces around Gradkowski, the inconsistency at receiver, the misshapen right side of the O-Line, a suddenly mediocre ground attack?

 Receiver

 

While this is definitely our biggest weakness, I hold out a lot of hope for the position. In the final weeks of the year we've seen players like Louis Murphy, Chaz Schillens, and Johnnie Lee Higgins making some good plays. And then there's more youth with Nick Miller and Heyward-Bey.

 Bey was needless to say a disappointment this year, but i think that his struggles this year will only inspire him more. Bey has the attitude of a guy who won't take his ineptitude lying down. We often forget that Darrius was regarded as a hard-worker. If Grad stays we can expect him to make sure DHB works his problems out and that they get their timing down.

 We can't really add anything to receiver other than maybe a veteran presence. We need to remember that this is an extremely raw unit that needs to develop and I think will develop with a leader at QB.

 I think it's no secret though that Murphy and Schilens are well on their way to becoming legitimate threats at receiver. Murphy has really caught on late this year and Schillens is picking up where he left off last year despite missing most of the year due to injury.

 As for Higgins, I'm not sure what to make of him. Several injuries have limited his playing time and seem to have thrown him off his game. If he can manage a healthy offseason and be healthy early on next year, I think he could refind his ability and become a good slot option.

 There's a lot of what-if's with this group, and their success is directly tied to who will be our QB next year.

 

Right Side of O-Line

 Cornell Green and an aging Cooper Carlisle......not exactly the makings of a sturdy right side of the line. Or a disciplined one as they frequently are called for penalties. No doubt there time is up in Oakland. But who is there to replace them?

 While I'm sure many of you would like early draft choices to remedy the O-Line, I think rounding off the defense is a more pressing matter while this inconsistent offense grows. There are though some good free agent possibilities.

 But before we get there, why not consider Langston Walker for RG? Filling in for Gallery, he's been great in the run game at LG and isn't horrible in pass protection. And I've heard no complaints about penalties about him. I think Walker could be a good option at RG if we can't get anyone else. At the very least he should be kept for competition/backup.

 Now then, as for RT, I'd like to see us bring in Willie Colon as a FA from Pittsburgh. He's been a good pass protector (or as good as one can be in Pittsburgh) and it's conceivable that may not resign him if they're looking for a better run blocker for Mendenhall. Colon isn't great in the running game, but he's not bad either. He's just average. But for pass protection, I think there's few better that we could get. An added bonus, he's not as penalty-prone as Green.

 Another option at RG is Logan Mankins from New England who seems to be a popular choice for future RG. I'm not sure how he would fare with the ZBS but he's a great all-around offensive lineman on par with, if not better than, Gallery. And with so many FA in New England, there might not be room for them to resign him. If there's one problem I have with him it's that he probably will not only command a ton of money, but I see him struggling in our scheme.

 However we go about it, fixing up the RG and RT positions are key to improving the run game and pass attack.

 As for the strange dropoff in the running game, you can blame the misuse of a great back in Michael Bush along with the defense stacking the box and inconsistent run blocking. If the rest of the offense gets built up and Bush is actually used then this ground attack will get back to normal.

 Despite all the weaknesses of the offense, comes the shining future of the Raiders. The defense. I bring you an image montage of the greatest moments of the defense of 09.

 

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When this defense really played motivated football, they were a fantastic unit. Creating turnovers, making stops in the redzone, forcing critical field goals, so on and so forth. There are definitely a few pieces missing here and there, but as an overall unit this a good D.

 So what's lacking? (other than offense to give these guys a break) Well the team is still getting gouged on big runs up the middle. But you have to expect that when all three of your DT's (Kelly, Warren, and Bryant) are all pass rushers. There's nobody who commands two blockers, nobody who eats up gaps in the like he eats up breakfast, we need a NT desperately.

 This is where the draft comes in. Though we're out of position for Suh, I like our chances to land Gerald McCoy or Terrance Cody. Either one is a big guy who not only takes up blockers and closes gaps, but also has some ability to penetrate into the backfield. My preference here is McCoy because he also has good pass rush. Either way I think this is a key weakness that needs to be addressed.

 But there also needs to be a certain degree of blame put on the linebackers. While we all clamor for Morrison to start at OLB instead of MLB, I can't see it happening after so many years at MLB. He has actually looked better in the middle the past couple games. The real problem though now is SLB. Whether it be Ricky Brown, Jon Alston, Sam Williams, it doesn't matter. Nobody on roster is competent enough to man the spot.

 Options for improvement? Well I have an interesting theory that i think could work. If we were to not draft a DT in the first and instead draft a Brandon Spikes or Rolando McClain, we could do as Cincy did with Maualuga and move them to OLB. Both are great run stoppers and would be a nice fit to play the strongside. If it worked with Maualuga, I could foresee it being a huge success with Spikes or McClain.

 And the secondary? Well the long-time weakness of safety appears to be cured. Huff is finally becoming a decent safety, maybe better than decent. His coverage skills are better than ever and he's finally a pretty sure tackler.

 Though I wonder if Mitchell might be able to usurp Huff from the starting FS spot if he can put together a full training camp and preseason. Mitchell has shown some promise in his very limited time this year and I wonder how good he could be.

 One spot that is locked down though is SS where Branch has shined. Branch is incredibly aggressive in the running game, plays tight coverage, and if he ever slips he can pop the receiver for an incompletion.

 The rest of the secondary outside the obvious Nnamdi is sketchy. Chris Johnson is very inconsistent, great one play, horrible the next. And Routt is much the same. The point here is that we either need another corner to move CJ to nickel and Routt to dime, or one to play behind CJ and push Routt to dime.

 I'd like to see a good free agent corner like a Marlin Jackson (unlikely but I can dream) or an Anthony Henry come in but this would probably best be solved with a late draft pick where Al can flash his sleeper pick magic.

 So after getting this all together here is our strengths and weaknesses, and needs in order of priority:

 

Strengths:

  • Running back as long as Bush starts
  • Tight End
  • Left Tackle
  • Left Guard
  • Defensive End
  • Weakside Linebacker
  • Safety

 

Weaknesses:

  • QB if Russell stays or Grad goes
  • Wide Receiver until development kicks in
  • Right Guard
  • Right Tackle
  • Strongside Linebacker

 

Needs:

  • Nose Tackle
  • Strongside Linebacker
  • Right Tackle
  • Corner Depth
  • Right Guard
  • Linebacker Depth

Overall, if we get about 4 of our 6 needs taken care of, this team could be a 10-6 team (if we keep Grad and Cable) But if you account for injuries and the improvement and decline of other teams I'd say 7-9 is more realistic.

 Finally I'd like to say I hope all my fellow Silver and Black Priders had a very Merry Christmas, a happy Hanukah, and a crazy Kwanza.

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Great Post

I still want Jamarcus to Win and other objects similar to that same perspective and have a common destination when needed which means to win but win by winning or making the opposing team lose which by default will make us win or both respective teams shall lose and win at the same time which has nothing to do with whatever I was talking about dose not apply…………….

"The Silver and Black are Back" -Greg Papa 2002 AFC Championship game

by nishal26 on Dec 26, 2009 1:05 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

lol...............what?

Evey- "Are you a crazy person?"
V- "I'm quite sure they'll say so."
V for Vendetta, blowing your mind away since 2005.

by KA1Z3R on Dec 26, 2009 1:18 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Are you high?

There he goes. One of God's own prototypes. A high-powered mutant of some kind never even considered for mass production. Too weird to live, and too rare to die.

by Remix. on Dec 26, 2009 2:33 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

That's how I speak

When I talk to the “Laides” No not really I talk stright up gangsta bitch… hahah No but really I don’t want a 3 point win or a last sec TD win over the Browns I want complete and utter Domination throughout the game anything less if failure. Is it possible to draft a new coaching staff and Owner. Kirk is cool Tyvon is cool my thing on D is we need to Tackle much better and stick on your assignment when in Gap control to stop the new Historic runner James Harrison.

"The Silver and Black are Back" -Greg Papa 2002 AFC Championship game

by nishal26 on Dec 26, 2009 8:32 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

James Harrison

Lucky

There he goes. One of God's own prototypes. A high-powered mutant of some kind never even considered for mass production. Too weird to live, and too rare to die.

by Remix. on Dec 26, 2009 9:54 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

have to second that

for drawing a dismal Chief’s defense, and a couple of horrible D calls and the entire front seven or eight getting pancaked by the O line time after time.

I’m pretty sure I could’ve gotten 150 yards and a couple of TD’s behind that kind of blocking, or lack of defensive push from the D line.

Can’t see him doing this again. Not against us, or any team for a long time.

by brhynno on Dec 27, 2009 8:18 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Finally

Someone agrees with me about Kirk..Everyone wants him to move, but it wont happen..And what happen to Trevor Scott at LB? Or is he only pass rush? But, If we get McCoy, and a OL for the right side.This team is going far..But, that all depends on if Bruce and Bush stays

There he goes. One of God's own prototypes. A high-powered mutant of some kind never even considered for mass production. Too weird to live, and too rare to die.

by Remix. on Dec 26, 2009 2:35 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

my thing with Scott at OLB

I like the idea for pass rush, and his size gives us basically a fifth defensive lineman in the run game, but i don’t want him in coverage. He’s fast that he can play a slower possession or blocking TE in coverage, but if he plays against a receiving TE or a receiving fullback (Peyton Hillis in Denver for example), he has neither the speed nor the ability in coverage to make up for it. Thus he is a liability in pass coverage.

So you can say, why not play him purely as a pass rusher at OLB? Well then you take away that element of surprise that Scott brings. Teams will see him and immediately you have either the blocking shifted or that man he’d be covering hanging back to block. This neutralizes Scott’s “elephant backer” role and make it useless.

Either Scott needs to get better in coverage and be an OLB full-time (something I’d be okay with), or we get a new LB. I’d rather see Scott work on his run-stopping ability so he can be our future DE starter. Though I think the “elephant backer” concept should be kept and used.

Evey- "Are you a crazy person?"
V- "I'm quite sure they'll say so."
V for Vendetta, blowing your mind away since 2005.

by KA1Z3R on Dec 27, 2009 6:26 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

What our D last week indicates

is that Warren and Kelly at DTs and Ellis and Seymour at DEs is the better arrangement. Scott plays both OLB and DE well – but looking at our roster, Trevor is best where we have him – in the 2nd row. Another thing is certain, Dick is much more effective on the edges than in the middle.

Son-of-Blanda

by Sons-of-Blanda on Dec 27, 2009 7:54 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Astute obsvervations, as usual

I agree wholeheartedly with almost all of it. Not sure if just because Kirk has been doing it so long at MLB that a choice to move him is not the right one; It’s not as much as his lack of plays at the position, and inconsistency, but his lack of being the field general, and qb of the defense that a great MLB is.

I think, by now, he should’ve assumed that role and established an identity doing it, which he has not. That being said, I’m not sure what we do with him, and if someone else might not outperform him at Will or Sam.

Trevor is a specialty position guy, and I like him that way. I don’t believe he’ll ever possess the coverage skill to be a hybrid at that elephant spot, where he excels pash rushing. On those plays, other guys are assigned to pick up his coverage assignments unless there’s no mismatch problem (a big, made eligible lineman at TE, or a slot guy obviously too fast for any lb to cover). He’s a liablity in coverage, and shedding blocks to get to runners, so he won’t bolster an already weak run defense up the middle.

Keep him standing up and rushing, and subbing in at DE.

Right on about corner, slb, NT, RG, and RT, but I think Langston could compete for that job with even a stud early pick for the job next year, but no less reason to get some depth and develop guys. You could make an argument for center as well.

Still would love Ndamukong, but know it’s a pipe dream. As for McCoy over Cody, it’s tough to say, because pass rush skills for NT’s in college do not always equate to the same at the NFL level, when they face much bigger, stronger, and better coached blockers at the point of attack. I think Cody would be a Wilfork or Jenkins for us under the right coaches, with the right complements at the other positions, many of which we currently have.

Happy Christmachannukwanzika to you too! I’m still blown away at how well you can assess a roster at your age! I didn’t know shit about the positions or the team when I was even 18, but I knew I was a Raider fan for life!

You make some fine contributions to the post, and I’d like to take the opportunity to say thanks. Keep up the great work.

by brhynno on Dec 26, 2009 3:43 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Center

Center to me is neither weakness nor strength. Whether we have Satele or Morris starting it doesn’t really matter because both have stepped in and done well enough. I’d rather asses the issues of an aging and inconsistent Carlisle and a horrid Green before we get to center. That and I’m interested to see if Morris might be able to develop with more starting time and get even better.

The center spot would definitely be better if there was better guard help because Gallery is often equalizing one member of the pass rush on his own which leaves Carlisle to help Morris/Satele. That’s not exactly a good thing when Green also requires Carlisle’s help. In a way Carlisle is blamed for the incompetence of his linemates. But even in one-on-one matchups he’s not faring too well so I’m not making a case for him to stay.

Evey- "Are you a crazy person?"
V- "I'm quite sure they'll say so."
V for Vendetta, blowing your mind away since 2005.

by KA1Z3R on Dec 27, 2009 6:34 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Think Morris can improve, but how much?

I just know Satele was a downgrade from Jake Grove.

You’re probably onto something when you point out Carlilsle often being a scapegoat for the other bockers, or lack thereof. There’s defninitely no Wisniewski type here, which would make the entire unit better. Not sure how many immediate impact guys will fall where we can get them this time around.

by brhynno on Dec 27, 2009 8:03 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

You Did a Great Job of Analysis

It just saddens me that what appears obvious to us fans escapes the front office. I think I just want to see this team win the way they used to. To have a 7 year history of failure is hard to overcome the potential we can see with so many elements of this team.
Injury played a role but the bigger question is as Glenn DIckey has stated repeatedly this season, is Al Davis committed to winning or just winning the way he thinks it should happen. Unfortunately, too many good personnel have been sacrificed over the past 7 years for the latter.

I find it hard to get excited about the draft knowing that some of these players may not be able to develop with the revolving door coaching staff we have had of late. I can partly blame Jamarcus’s development on that but his the greater issue is his football IQ and character which are sadly inadequate to lead an NFL team.

"I've been accused of using too many words...I suppose that's like accusing Mozart of using too many notes." Bill King

by Gerard on Dec 26, 2009 5:33 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

speaking of that coaching carousel

if Cable loses his job, it’s ironic that Russell is the reason he’ll be losing it.

Going purely off record, Cable is 5 wins with Russell in two seasons. With QB’s other than Russell, he’s 4 wins (I count Denver because Russell was only in for a little bit and Frye could have easily won us the game) in only about 7 games. hmm……….4-7 versus about 3-20ish.

If Cable loses his job, then Russell should be released as well because he is what ruined the best coach since Jon Gruden.

Evey- "Are you a crazy person?"
V- "I'm quite sure they'll say so."
V for Vendetta, blowing your mind away since 2005.

by KA1Z3R on Dec 27, 2009 6:40 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I like Cable,

but his bias against using Bush like he should is fatal.

I think Bush is one of the smartest ball players on our team, and knows his limitations. So when Bush called for somebody to relieve him a few games back, I think that went against Cable’s football ethos, and played him accordingly.

A player knows if he’s slipping out of the zone, and if he has the honesty to pull himself out, then that’s a better move for the team.

Keeping them fresh and on fire is essential, and working on adjustments and substitutions is crucial.

The best thing about Cable is he’ll go for it on fourth, which makes the game more exciting, plays to momentum statistically, and seasons our team to these situations so anxiety is reduced in future situations -though it increases anxiety on opposing defenses.

by xville on Dec 27, 2009 3:49 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

If that's the best thing about Cable it's also the only thing

When I awake, let the headlines read as follow: “Al Davis fires another coach”

Son-of-Blanda

by Sons-of-Blanda on Dec 27, 2009 6:04 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Cody would be nice

I’m not sure how you can say you’d rather have McCoy over Cody because of his pass rushing skills when you just said that our DT’s weakness is that 3 out of the 4 are pass rushers? I’d love to see Mount Cody cloggiing up the middle and letting the speed guys do their jobs. The rest of your analysis I thought was right on, especially Bush starting. Maybe Bush and McFadden can get some kind of “Thunder and Lightening” two pronged attack going.

by portbrawler on Dec 26, 2009 5:52 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Thank you for your assessment

I like the 3-4 idea with either McCoy, Cody, Odrick or Aluala at Nose (or best if Al somehow got us Suh).
You characterized Kelly, Warren, and Bryant as “pass rushers” in what seemed an attempt to explain why they were weak against the run. First, I leave Bryant out because he’s doing quite well against both run and pass; however, Kelly and Warren are consistently mediocre against both run and pass. Also, Dick occupied the DT position a lot during mid-season, I say ‘occupied’ because he is the most overrated player on the team and makes Kelly look pretty good.
Next, aren’t you giving Cable an undeserved pass? Instability from coaching changes is a bugaboo because coaches can be replaced while a system remains in place with minimal disruption. We’ve all heard from a few outspoken players who expressed their affection for Tom; but liking someone doesn’t necessarily mean they can also lead and get desired results.

Son-of-Blanda

by Sons-of-Blanda on Dec 26, 2009 6:04 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Nice nod to Desmond; he has been playing well against both the run and pass

and considering how bad his cohorts have been at times it’s saying a lot. To have an undrafted guy outplaying his other players is also unacceptable.

Not sure K wanted to use that as an excuse as to why they played poorly against the run, but you’re definitely reading something into how he’s excusing them as playing decently at the position, regardess of the play calls!

While I remain a bit ambivaent about Dick Seymour, he remains the lone Raider lineman to draw fairly consistent double teams. The others haven’t done enough to get that kind of respect from DC’s or the guys they face. It is partially due to his drawing that respect that gets his other guys opportunities.

I believe Seymour provided a lift and some leadership to this young D at a time when we desperately needed it. Has he been a dominant presence even better than half the time? Probably not, but he is on the downward side of a career where he played about three or four more games a season in about half of them than lots of guys, so I’m inclined to give him a little break. That being said, not sure if keeping him around after this season will be worth it, but I don’t see the defense coming together how they did without his presence this year. Ellis was significant in that aspect as well.

by brhynno on Dec 26, 2009 6:45 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Most team-strength evaluations on this blog are generally consistent

Coaches, players and the ‘front office’ all watch game films and must know what is obvious to our more attentive fan base. So, I am optimistic that quality players will be kept and the others eventually superseded by FAs, Draft picks and swaps. We are climbing out of the abyss – slowly – but this season, more than any since 2002, gives cause for higher (if not giddy) expectations.

Son-of-Blanda

by Sons-of-Blanda on Dec 26, 2009 8:32 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

fair enough about Bryant

but I’m speaking more towards our need of a big 340 pound guy at DT to play beside guys like Kelly and Bryant.

As for Cable, I commented on a post above that without Russell, Cable is 4-7 as a coach despite all the inadequacy at receiver, O-Line, corner depth, and run defense. (I count Denver because Frye could have won that game and played most of it) With a decent QB option Cable is actually a pretty good coach.

Evey- "Are you a crazy person?"
V- "I'm quite sure they'll say so."
V for Vendetta, blowing your mind away since 2005.

by KA1Z3R on Dec 27, 2009 6:47 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

OAK BIGGEST WEAKNESS

The front office ….. (or lack there of)

by Bud Light on Dec 26, 2009 8:16 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

No Need to Analyze

There is little point in trying to analyze 2009 or what might be coming in 2010. The simple fact is this:

As long as Al Davis continues to meddle with the team on the field, the results will be the same…more misery.

If Al Davis were to hire a GM, and let his coaches do their job, then there would be reason to be hopeful. But until that happens, there is no hope.

by K. Hall on Dec 27, 2009 10:17 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

well since it's kinda my job to analyze stuff

I’m going to keep doing it.

And you can whine and gripe about Davis all you want, he’s not going anywhere. So buck up, look around and see this team is getting better. All that’s stopping us is the possibility of Cable being fired and Russell possibly starting again next year.

Evey- "Are you a crazy person?"
V- "I'm quite sure they'll say so."
V for Vendetta, blowing your mind away since 2005.

by KA1Z3R on Dec 29, 2009 6:56 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Thoughts on J Russell at QB

I honestly wish this guy would get his issues straightened out. He has the tools to be an incredible QB if his mental focus was right. I know everyone has dragged him in the mud and no one is as sick of loosing as I am. It would be our luck that Davis drops him and he becomes the hero of another team and saying how horrible it was to play in Oakland. “sigh” I keep waiting for the glory days ….

by northwind72000 on Dec 29, 2009 10:28 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

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