Officially sanctioned 'right of prediction' re Raiders vs. 49ers outcome
by Sons-of-Blanda on Oct 14, 2010 10:46 PM PDT
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PrintThe burden to predict the outcome of this extremely important game has been placed on me (and two distinguished prognosticators who will weigh in shortly) as this week's (Co-) Damas, Jr. My methods are not occult, as are those of the amazing and renowned Raiderdamus (our own RDreamer). Mine are more western, a blend of statistical and circumstantial analysis percolated in my gut until a decisive outcome forms in my mind.
Statistically, we hold the advantage in almost every major category:
Record (2-3 to 0-5)
1st Downs (104 to SF 87)
Rushing Yards (671 to SF 389)
Passing Yards (1,025 to SF 1,168)
Sacks (10 to 10)
Touchdowns (11 to SF 9)
TOP (31:17 to SF 29:14)
Field Goals (11 to SF 9)
Turnover Ratio (0 to SF -10)!!!
Back-to-Back Wins (0 to 0)
Wins on the Road (0 to 0)
Circumstantially, we would be at a slight disadvantage but for one important 'intangible'
A team projected to take its division is winless (losing by a thin 2 or 3 pts in games with good teams: New Orleans, Atlanta and Philadelphia, is playing at home against its loathed neighbor, and desperate to end its shame.
WRs who are very much involved and a running back with all the tools.
vs.
A team coming off a win, with a history of losing after a win (and StD was a HUGH win), struggling with pass defense (facing a world-class TE, Vernon Davis), with several key players out: Bruce Gradkowski, John Henderson, Darren McFadden.... But, with a coaching staff finally demonstrating "The Will to Win" whatever it takes and doing this by replacing established (and exhausted) conventions and formulas with creative sets and innovative personnel arrangements.
This renewed attitude that puts winning ahead of any and all values is embraced by the players (we saw that last Sunday and rejoiced). This is Now The Raider Nation's Zeitgeist for this New Decade and this spirit is what will make the decisive difference in Sunday's outcome. Listen to Hugh Jackson's press conference today if you have any doubts about that.
Raiders will win
Oakland 27 S.F. 24
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I like Hue and what he has to say: all the right things
I hope we see him back it up with actions and outcomes too.
"If your only ambition in life, is to be a better person; well, that's just the best ambition you can have..." Wayne "Rabbit" Bartholomew
Did you see that smile spread over his face when asked how he was going to handle having
both Bush and McFadden at once?! Hugh and those two are going to take this team up another notch or two.
S-O-B: ITS HOW I ROLL, DEAL WITH IT.
by Sons-of-Blanda on Oct 14, 2010 11:12 PM PDT up reply actions
It makes you think that maybe now he can actually do the stuff that he had planned to do in the past with guys healthy.
Now he can get creative and do what he wants.
by duballers23 on Oct 14, 2010 11:15 PM PDT up reply actions
If Dmac doesn't play... we will not do good... checkdown king will have trouble.
We may lose… We need Dmac for JC to do good, Bush is stiff and can catch but not as gracefully as Dmac.
The RaiderLaker
I think it might be a little better to have MB vs Willis
"May the wind be at our back, here comes the Silver and Black "
Agree with that; but Jason favors DMC heavily
S-O-B: ITS HOW I ROLL, DEAL WITH IT.
by Sons-of-Blanda on Oct 14, 2010 11:48 PM PDT up reply actions
Let's not forget about Reece
they’ve only gone to him twice in the passing game, one for a TD, one that was really close to being a big gainer. If we get him and Bush or DMC involved early, it will loosen some coverage for Zach in the seams.
I have a feeling DHB goes off in this game…just a gut feeling…
we never retreat we always ATTACK!!!
by transparent58 on Oct 15, 2010 10:36 AM PDT up reply actions
Marcel is a factor b/c Jason loves hitting his Backs more than anyone and MikeBush will be pounding yards all day
Zach & Marcel should have a big day.
S-O-B: ITS HOW I ROLL, DEAL WITH IT.
by Sons-of-Blanda on Oct 15, 2010 1:00 PM PDT up reply actions
And he likes Zach too
You gotta love Zach. Who wouldn’t love to throw to Zach? Dude just plain gets open, and catches almost everything.
"If your only ambition in life, is to be a better person; well, that's just the best ambition you can have..." Wayne "Rabbit" Bartholomew
So...this means you and TexasRaider aren't fighting to the death?
That’s anticlimactic
Lord loves a workin' man; don't trust whitey; see a doctor and get rid of it.
Only Raiderdamus' predictions are anticlimatic - like reading the last page first of a novel
S-O-B: ITS HOW I ROLL, DEAL WITH IT.
by Sons-of-Blanda on Oct 14, 2010 11:19 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
I think I've seen him on another blog. I don't like that blog. Sons wins.
(unless I’m wrong..)
The RaiderLaker
Oh and should you get too close on your prediction
don’t think your statistical disclaimer will save you from the wrath of a disapproving King.
Lord loves a workin' man; don't trust whitey; see a doctor and get rid of it.
by Rich Langford on Oct 14, 2010 11:20 PM PDT up reply actions
Oh, I see. "Co-Damus, Jr." isn't what you intended but some Jr Jr title. Well, "Co-" is ok w/me if w/TR
S-O-B: ITS HOW I ROLL, DEAL WITH IT.
by Sons-of-Blanda on Oct 14, 2010 11:21 PM PDT up reply actions
How 'bout the lil dam bros?
However, I shall leave all naming rights and trademarks therein as sole properties of the gifted.
Lord loves a workin' man; don't trust whitey; see a doctor and get rid of it.
by Rich Langford on Oct 14, 2010 11:36 PM PDT up reply actions
When shall we hear from the noble one? Has he been moved?
I added a parenthetical to the post so as not to incur his displeasure and my utter ruin.
S-O-B: ITS HOW I ROLL, DEAL WITH IT.
by Sons-of-Blanda on Oct 14, 2010 11:39 PM PDT up reply actions
I've just returned with the scrolls and I shall be posting soon.
I just need to make sure I have not been followed.
Lord loves a workin' man; don't trust whitey; see a doctor and get rid of it.
by Rich Langford on Oct 14, 2010 11:42 PM PDT up reply actions
I am sure he will be pleased with your apprenticeship
and careful considerations.
Lord loves a workin' man; don't trust whitey; see a doctor and get rid of it.
by Rich Langford on Oct 14, 2010 11:45 PM PDT up reply actions
Do take pains
S-O-B: ITS HOW I ROLL, DEAL WITH IT.
by Sons-of-Blanda on Oct 14, 2010 11:49 PM PDT up reply actions
all those statistics...
and then you just used the exact same score the 49ers lost by last week.
We don't need 8 in the box. We have 52 in the box.
What? At this point it's hard to pick a score the 9ers haven't lost by.
Lord loves a workin' man; don't trust whitey; see a doctor and get rid of it.
by Rich Langford on Oct 15, 2010 12:44 AM PDT up reply actions
Finding new ways to lose is yet another of SF's challenges
S-O-B: ITS HOW I ROLL, DEAL WITH IT.
by Sons-of-Blanda on Oct 15, 2010 7:18 AM PDT up reply actions
SOB - Heed your earlier concerns Brother!
As you mentioned earlier this week , we cannot take this game lightly. While we “own” every conceivable stat catagory the ones that matter are virtual ties ( Pass yds, Sacks,Time op + 2 min gm , Fg’s + 2. Niner fans are stoked. YES even out here in WY. Talked to a dude on a workover rig yesterday who flys out of Salt Lake tomorrow to his 2 $300 a piece tickets in a sold out venue. " It’s a Norcal thing but fuck you bro, I’m desperate for a win". THAT’S the attitude in Wyoming, Raider Nation , will it be any less in Cali? We better bring our best game or we will get our asses beat down! Pressure pressure pressure on the pass and run. The running yard deficit scares the hell out of me. gore turns it on and doesn’t fumble and we have our hands full. not being an asshole here guys but after watching for 43 years you tend to get these karma feelings and we cannot take this game lightly, PERIOD. Stats be damned, this is the N.F.L., and we all know …..on any given Sunday. that’s why they play the games. R.F.F.R.
My Friend, peace. If I gave the impression that we will have a soft game and easy victory then I'm a knave
But the mantle of this unwelcome duty was set before me and by Ishtars pendulous breasts I could not shirk it, but stated my mind straight out. Yes, it’s what I believe – a close hard fought game ending in our favor. Did I, or will ,I join the giddy revelers in their premature ejaculations – no by Al’s cock, I did not abide with them and their orgiastic fantasies. But, I do have inside information that the team is taking this game quite seriously and will be playing with singular and determined purpose. This news, and Hugh Jackson’s press conference yesterday, did alter my anxious, if not pessimistic, mood.
S-O-B: ITS HOW I ROLL, DEAL WITH IT.
by Sons-of-Blanda on Oct 15, 2010 9:52 PM PDT up reply actions
I think we will see a New Campbell
I thought this in the preseason and I still think it now, Campbell seems to be an emotional quarterback, and this past sunday we saw him on his emotional high, I think those two long drives allowed him to regain some confidence and if he carries that poise to SanFran I think we will do fine. We need to go down and score quick, and I would say through the air, It seems like if Campbell connects early for a throwing touchdown it will stabilize his play for the remainder of the game. If we three and out and run the ball unsuccessfully, and maybe campbell gets sacked early, it might ruin his play. I hate that he’s hot/cold like that, but it is what it is. GO RAIDERS!
Wish McFadden was playing. Play action and quck dumps to Darren would move us down field
Reece has to step up tomorrow. Bush has only caught two passes so far (2 out of 2 targets) and I’m expecting him to be a go-to-guy like Darren was for Jason earlier.
S-O-B: ITS HOW I ROLL, DEAL WITH IT.
by Sons-of-Blanda on Oct 16, 2010 1:27 PM PDT up reply actions
Raiders vs Niners, no predictions, but think this is "the" game of the week.
Just back after 2 weeks of Comcast induced exile, and have to say, Missed you all a lot.
When we won last week, I was almost in tears with joy, we ended the Charger streak!
It wasn’t pretty from what I heard over the radio, but it was a Win and very proud of the team for continuing to fight till the end.
This week it’s the Niners, they are desperate for a win, and we need the win too.
It’s going to be another hard fought game and hard to call, so i’ll just say…
Go Raiders !!!
Cable says it will come down to the 4th quarter (like 4 of our 5 previous games) and I believe that
SF will bring the blitz and I just don’t see how Jason will avoid being sacked a few times from the blindside. Mario and Jared won’t be able to hold off Haralson, Lawson, Smith, LaBoy all together or consistently. Offensively, it comes down to how well Bush is running and Campbell getting the ball out fast and not coughing it up.
S-O-B: ITS HOW I ROLL, DEAL WITH IT.
by Sons-of-Blanda on Oct 16, 2010 1:20 PM PDT up reply actions
Let's hope there is communication for JC if he's left vulnerable. I love Bush and Miller in this game,
Patrick Willis is a beast, but, last I checked there’s only one ball, and that leaves Bush or Miller in the open, While I like Spikes and his intensity, he’s lost his explosiveness that made him great. Bush and Miller both have strength to neutralize Spikes’ effectiveness as well.
Not to mention, Spikes can’t play 3 downs consistently anymore. Whoever else they put on Bush or Miller, while respectable LB’s they may be, will get eaten alive.
I like to believe that my best hits border on felonious assault.
-Jack Tatum
by R.I.P. JACK TATUM RAIDER D GOAT on Oct 16, 2010 4:11 PM PDT up reply actions
Reese should be Key .......
With blindside help, if they (the OC & co.) doesn’t wait until Campbell get’s hit !!! Give Veldeer, & esp. Henderson help before to allow Campbell’s confidence to continue to grow. Roll right from the jump, to start the game !!!
Peace it is SOB.
I just get worked up and after 7 + puke ugly seasons I saw the end of the tunnel this spring. Only to have it (kind of , so far) shoved up the proverbial “frazamma” yet again. I love what you guys do on this site as the research, follow up and willingness to devote YOUR TIME to all of us not only shows, but matters in my book. I’m dying for a rare back to back win in what we should consider a home game with a hostile crowd. My boss and my little brother are both Niner fans so it hits close to home too. I agree with the McFadden input , it would have been nice. I agree with papabegood that a little blindside help will keep JC from being a casualty as you pointed out above. We need this win badly. In my opinion this is the turning point of the season. We have our shit together or we don’t. We lose we and it’s an 8th miserable season in a row. We need to take it home for the TOOZ, Lyle Alzado and Mr. Jack Tatum,among others. R.F.F.R.
Maybe they can beat the piss poor Panthers next week - But, they will not get their first win
against the Raiders.
S-O-B: ITS HOW I ROLL, DEAL WITH IT.
SOB I agree
after hearing what Hue Jackson had to say I have a bit more hope for JC I still prefer Grad but hes hurt and thats that. Honestly I really dont care who does what I just want us to win! I want our beloved Raiders to go in there like a pack of ravenous wild dogs! I want our boys in silver and black to go into SF so hungry they are ready to gnaw trees and chew rocks! I want smoke coming out of their ears and fire shooting out of their eyes! and as for those who are “injured” (I do not include Dmac and Grad) I invite you to look at the man in the box sitting next to Al we all know who I’m talking about! the great 00! Jim Otto! I invite them to read his book while they “recover” and think about how many times he played hurt and with broken bones or needing surgery! and how he NEVER missed a regular season or post season game! NEVER! it is BEYOND time for the non producing whiny little babies to grow up, man up or GTFO! if our beloved Raiders play as if their VERY LIVES depend on them winning, then I believe they will win! anything less and the whiner fans will be merciless in riding our backs until next year!
That's the fire that's needed - but Cable cannot generate such emotion, it must come from the
leaders on the team, Seymour (again), Branch (who was made Capt for the StD game) sucked it up and had his best game when (surprisingly) given the leadership role, Grad (though not playing) is certainly a leader. Nnamdi and Death Ro are quiet / reserved souls whose game speaks for them – but they need to generate fire in the lockerroom. We have to start out right or we’ll be back at halftime trailing. I want to be wrong but this is what I now envision – we will trail at halftime and make adjustments and then our resolve / character will present itself to the world.
S-O-B: ITS HOW I ROLL, DEAL WITH IT.
by Sons-of-Blanda on Oct 17, 2010 8:02 AM PDT up reply actions
Even more at stake, we play the 99ers in regular season every 4 years (not every year)
S-O-B: ITS HOW I ROLL, DEAL WITH IT.
by Sons-of-Blanda on Oct 17, 2010 8:19 AM PDT up reply actions
Yes.
We lost the last one 34-20 and the one before that in Oakland 23-20 in OT the last time we were in the Super Bowl. Cable should have a lot of bulletin board material to beat them. From Crabs licking his chops, the current 3 out of 4 losses to the niners, the fact they’re 6.5 point underdogs to a 0-5 team to the fact they haven’t won back to back games in nearkly two years. Please use this. If you’re and Oakland Raider player, coach, staff employee, please get this out to the entire organization and explain the importance of going 3-3 instead of 2-4 as well!
"I didn't fail the test, I just found 100 ways to do it wrong"
- Benjamin Franklin
It's absolutely mindboggling how our 2 most important games occur back-2-back
under circumstances that could easily hide the criticality of the game today. This game will define our season (although Grads not playing). We win this one and the Divisional Crown becomes a real possibility, we lose and it’s back to scrounging for silver linings.
S-O-B: ITS HOW I ROLL, DEAL WITH IT.
by Sons-of-Blanda on Oct 17, 2010 8:53 AM PDT up reply actions
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