RaiderDamus' Fantasy Foretelling Week 6: Raiders vs. Browns
RaiderDamus is back for another exciting edition of the Fantasy Foretelling, wherein I tell you what to do with the real-life players on your make-believe team. It is bye-week time and so fantasy owners actually have to work for their victories. Up this week for the Raiders are the once-hapless Cleveland Browns. They are currently in last place in their division and are getting shredded on the ground this year. That's not generally a good recipe for success against a strong rushing team like the Raiders, but let's look ahead to see where the hidden gems might be uncovered.
We'll start with the Browns today. They have a long and storied history of being awful, just like every other Cleveland team, which is why people love Ohio State and hate LeBron James. Ohio State is in Columbus, where the mere whiff of Cleveland is in the air but is not strong enough to infect them. LeBron James is from Akron, which sucks too but if he were actually from Cleveland he would only play two quarters instead of three. Now he's in Miami, where he will never play basketball again, ha ha ha.
That being said, the Browns had a very good preseason and actually have a good quarterback in Colt McCoy, the winningest QB in NCAA history until later this year when Kellen Moore takes that title from him. Let's start with him.
Colt McCoy- Bench him. He has issues this week. His all-pro Cal Bear graduate center, Alex Mack, recently had an appendectomy and his status is the dreaded game-time decision. This is bad because Richard Seymour is better than Alex Mack anyway and he's a damn sight better than whatever poor scrub (apparently his name is Steve Vallos) replaces Alex Mack at center. McCoy will probably be running for his life all day and throwing to oh wait Josh Cribbs is questionable too. Hmm. Mohammed Massaquoi then. I hope that works out for McCoy. I predict 200 yds passing, 1 TD, 2 INT.
Peyton Hillis: A good play this week. It's hard not to root for Peyton Hillis. He was cast aside by the Broncos when he was their best rusher and now he is succeeding in Cleveland, a feat heretofore deemed impossible. Every time he breaks a big run, there should be a caption on the bottom of the screen that reads "LOL Knowshon Moreno". The Raiders will try to keep him in check like they kept Arian Foster in check last week, but Hillis is his own goal-line back and may get a short yardage TD. 80 yds rushing, 1 TD.
Mohammed Massaquoi: A decent play if you have him on your team, which you probably don't. Criminally underrated coming out of the University of Georgia, Massaquoi is a really good young receiver who is developing a rapport with McCoy. I like his upside, and against the Raiders he will put up a decent game. 90 rec yds, 1 TD.
Ben Watson: Bench. This guy couldn't be a star playing TE for Tom Brady and he won't do much against the Raiders, who have been very good this year shutting down opposing tight ends. 40 rec yds.
Cleveland defense: One of the crappiest run defenses in the NFL faces the second best rushing offense. This is a mismatch. The Browns defense doesn't deserve to be owned in any leagues. To compound that, their best cornerback Joe Haden may miss the game. Avoid at all cost.
Now on to the good guys:
Jason Campbell: Bench. Not because he isn't good, but it's just that if Jason Campbell has to attempt more than 25 passes I'll be shocked. Campbell needs to use play action a lot to keep the Browns off balance and hit the open man every now and then. There will be lots of open receivers in this game. Also, he needs to not throw the ball to the other team like Matt Schaub did. If he does not commit any turnovers, despite how much yardage he gets it will be deemed a successful outing. I predict 175 passing yds, 1 TD, 0 INT.
Darren McFadden: Start him, he's the best play in fantasy this week bar none. You may say "What about Adrian Peterson?" and to that I say, the Bears gave up a billion yards to Cal Bear graduate Jahvid Best on Monday night and they will want to atone for that travesty by putting ten men in the box against the Vikings. This will work because Donovan McNabb is old and terrible. Anyway, Darren McFadden is better than AP this week and he will destroy a weak rush defense, running up and down the field with nobody to stop him. He will also catch a lot of passes, maybe five or so. He may wind up as Oakland's leading receiver when all is said and done. 200 rush yds, 2 TD; 80 rec yds, 1 TD.
Michael Bush: Again, you know the drill. If the ghost of Tim Couch manages to push DMC out at the goal line before he scores, you know who gets the call. 30 yds rushing, 1 TD. Start him if your primary RB2 or flex is on a bye week.
Darrius Heyward-Bey: Steadily blossoming into a number one receiver before our eyes. Of course, on the Raiders a number one receiver translates to about the 40th best receiving option in fantasy, so he's probably not even owned in your league unless some Raider homer (this means you if you are reading this) scooped him up after the Texans game. In any case, with the possibility of no Joe Haden lining up for the Browns DHB is a solid play this week for whatever team scraped the bottom of the barrel and came up with him. 90 rec yds.
Denarius Moore: Bench unless you have the bye week blues. I forgot to mention him last week, but that's okay because he did nothing against the Texans. He will have exactly one catch against the Browns but it will be a big one. 50 rec yds.
Kevin Boss: Bench unless your starting TE is off. Boss has good games and games where he is a blocker with no passes thrown his way. It's nearly impossible to tell which of these any upcoming game will turn out to be. My guess is that we will try very hard to establish the rush game, exploiting the Browns' weakness, and that means lots of pancake blocks for Boss and no catches. He will be great for the Raiders and terrible for you.
Sebastian Janikowski: Best kicker in football without question. I underestimated him last week, saying he would hit one fifty yard field goal. He hit three. Start him at all times.
Raiders defense: It's hard to trust a group like this. They have played well every game except Buffalo (the Patriots game does not count) but still give up a lot of points and don't force a lot of turnovers. Holding teams under 20 points and forcing turnovers are what makes a fantasy defense good. The Raiders defense will probably not give up a ton of points to the Browns, but they probably will drop some easy interceptions that better defenses would secure. You should start them only if you have a terrible matchup or a bye on your other defensive team.
So, there's that. My question for Raider Nation this week: Judging purely by the first part of this season, if you held a redraft in your league today, what do you think the first round would look like? It is usually occupied by runningbacks only, but Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady (and Cam Newton, for that matter) have been extremely valuable- enough to warrant first-round consideration. Who are your top ten or twelve in fantasy?
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The Chargers have a much tougher remaining slate than the Raiders do
by AuthenticA'sfan on Oct 13, 2011 2:17 PM PDT reply actions
Jeff Foxworthy snuck in
If you start all Raider players on your fantasy football team because you can’t even imagine picking anybody who isn’t Silver and Black….you might be a Raider Homer.
With DHB becoming a solid WR
take a look back at the 2009 NFL Draft.
7. DHB
10. Crabtree
19. Maclin
22. Harvin
29. Nicks
30. Britt
36. Robiskie
50. Massaquoi
82. Williams (Derrick)
83. Tate (Brandon)
84. Wallace (Mike)
Pretty great draft to be taking WRs in the first 3 rounds.
Of that group
I’ll take Hakeem Nicks.
These are my principles. If you don't like them, I have others. -Groucho Marx
That's the WR I wanted
we never retreat we always ATTACK!!!
by transparent58 on Oct 13, 2011 3:57 PM PDT up reply actions
With the 7 I wanted Crabtree
but if we traded down I wanted Nicks.
I think not having a 3rd rounder sort of forced our hand in that draft
I didn’t want Crabtree, and I’m glad we didn’t get him. I think he’s a douche and a me first guy. For all DHBs struggles, at least he’s put in the work and been a good teammate.
If we had a 3rd rounder, I think we go OL or DL at 7, and hoped DHB was there in the 2nd, then Mitchell in the 3rd. It’s sort of the same scenario of why we used a 3rd on Pryor this year. We knew we wanted DHB and Mitchell, so we took them when we picked.
we never retreat we always ATTACK!!!
by transparent58 on Oct 13, 2011 5:26 PM PDT up reply actions
I never wanted CrapTree there were just a few who pegged DHB coming here
Maclin looked to be the class of the draft for WR’s but the Eagles issues are derailing his sucess
Robiskie was intriguing but mechanical
Harvin was troubled
Britt has turned out to be troubled
Massaquoi is a talented young kid making plays
I did like Nicks just was a draft that didn’t have a lot of people trading down…
Al Davis the Greatest Raider of all times... You will live forever in the hearts of true Raider fans...RIP
Yeah I mean
I got to watch Nicks a few times when UNC played MD. He was a beast. I thought he was the sure thing, but taking him at 7 would have definitely been a reach. I also was at a game where DHB hauled in 2 90+ yard TDs against Miami so I knew about the potential. Glad he’s finally blossoming.
A couple of notes from a Browns fan-
I agree that McCoy will be running from Seymour a lot, but I don’t think he throws 2 INTs. So far this season he has thrown 2 INTs the whole way. He takes really good care of the ball in that respect.
MoMass is pretty decent (kudos on spelling out his last name, I can never do it), but he’s not the only one: I’m going to go out on a limb and say there is no way Cribbs doesn’t play, and Greg Little (the guy Cleveland fans agree will be our #1 WR of the future) is going to start this week for the first time. He has played the most snaps at WR on the team so far this year, so he can’t get much more in terms of reps, but he has been a pretty reliable target. I think he’s worth taking a chance on if you’re desperate.
We are bad at stopping TEs. Sounds like it doesn’t make much of a difference in this case, just thought I’d let you guys know.
AND for what it’s worth, Alex Mack stretched with the team today in practice but did not participate other than that. I’m guessing he plays- the dude is tough as nails.
Colt
He’s dangerous outside of the pocket, I hope we keep him in the pocket and collapse it on him.
Al Davis the Greatest Raider of all times... You will live forever in the hearts of true Raider fans...RIP
Astute fantasy prognosis
as for my adjustments to the pre-draft rankings or who I’d draft, I’ve never jocked qbs too hard, but for the record, Newton wouldn’t have been anywhere near my board, and I’d probably still say the same. I never imagined he’d come out of the gates performing as well; he’s proven me wrong. Time will tell if he maintains down the stretch.
Hillis will be tough to stop, and perhaps equally catching the ball. We’ll need to do our best to keep his carries to a minimum, by establishing the early lead, and possessing the clock with effective drives on the ground and smart play action. A receiver gets one on a toss, reverse type play in this one too. I’m guessing Moore again.
"tough times call for perseverance and a tough mind. I have been told that I can't play football before. We all know what happened with that. #neverquit"--Mark Herzlich
""The massive Raider Nation is beyond doubt the sleaziest and rudest and most sinister mob of thugs and wackos ever assembled."--Hunter S. Thompson
I'll usually take a QB in the first round
but it has to be an elite one. I’m rocking Brees and Rodgers in my two pay leagues, and I’m undefeated. I usually avoid Raiders, but I was so high on DMC this year, that I drafted him in every league where I had a live draft.
we never retreat we always ATTACK!!!
by transparent58 on Oct 13, 2011 9:44 PM PDT up reply actions
funny, guess i am one of the homers :)
I kinda screwed myself in my fantasy, Traded away Aj Green, and Plaxico. Though im 5-0 and the every team is pretty much equal talent wise. The only good WR i got in the original draft was Welker, and thank god he’s been making 30 points a game. I have Moore but due to the number of WR’s were actually playing i dont see him doing so great. Picked up DHB monday on waivers, (didnt have much competion for him) i think he puts good numbers for the rest of the season. I also got Run DMC and Seabass. :) As well as BRady and Gronkowski, so i guess im ok til Bye then im screwed. Im a raider all the way!
by Raider_Renagade on Oct 13, 2011 7:48 PM PDT reply actions
"..he's probably not even owned in your league unless some Raider homer (this means you if you are reading this) scooped him up after the Texans game."
yep thats me lol
RIP Al Davis
hahaha I got him too
LOL
"We’re going to be a tough, rugged football team that walks with a swagger and plays the way the Raiders used to play." Hue Jackson
I'm afraid I would have to pass on Jano this week.
Is he the best kicker in the world? Yes. This week against a weak Browns rushing D? No. The Raiders will likely be in the end zone a lot, meaning that field goal attempts will be minimal. Just a thought.
Refuse to tiptoe through life only to arrive safely at death
Based off of current stats for 2011 - 2012
I would say that a FANTASY draft would shake out more like –
1. Adrian Peterson (consistently top 3 back for the last 3 – 4 yrs.)
2. McFadden
3. Foster
4. C. Johnson
5. Rodgers
6. Brees
7. R. Rice
8. F. Jackson
9. Forte
10. L. McCoy
11. C. Johnson
Keep up the good work RaiderDamus, excellent read as always…!
...Watching DeMarcus Cousins’ transformation from large human to immortal kill beast...






































