As you all know We have not had a #1 pic in 2 years now and just a 5th and a 6th this year.
As much as we all love to watch the draft and add players to our wish list, the odds might surprise you on getting a quality starter much less a pro bowler. Will start with CP. How many of you would trade CP for RG3 ?? Here are some stats that would say it would be very unwise.
In the last 40+ years QBs drafted 1 and 2 has only happened 5 times 4 out of the 5 times 1 has been a bust. You have to go back to 1971 to Plunkett and Archie Manning to be the only successful duo. Now top that off with a 1st round QB having a 52% bust ratio
Now if we had not traded our #1 pick and drafted the best player available we still only have a 55% chance of landing a quality starter and if we draft a junior coming out early the odds drop to around 30%...The big exception here is Guard or Center 1st rounders have a 80% chance of being a starter with WR being the worst at 38%
So when we Traded for guys like CP, Seymour, and Curry we have helped our team more than having the pics we gave up. There is always a risk in trades and FAs as well like a Moss or a Hall. It hasnt made for a exciting draft day, But after all draft pics are used to better you team and we did so with ours.
Remember percentages are subjective on what is or is not a bust ...but i got them from Vegas number crunchers