To my fellow Raider fans,
I write this to express my feelings that trading down is a must in this draft. I know this has been addressed ad naseum, but I just wanted to throw in my $0.02 at the last minute.
I know we need a top flight player at 5, but is that really the answer? I mean if Clowney or Watkins is there, you take him, but if else, then why take somebody who's not a "game changer"? Hell, even if they are there, are they really going to be a game changer for us? If we draft Watkins, don't expect 1,400 yds and a dozen TDs. He's going to be doubled up every play, and let's not forget he has Schaub throwing to him. Clowney hasn't tried to clown an All-Pro LT yet, let alone an NFL caliber double team. Not saying he can't or won't, but getting the BPA in the 1st, a nasty 3-tech in the 2nd and a solid grinder (even a project hybrid) at OLB/DE in the 3rd is more effective than one guy facing doubles every play. If we can get an extra 2nd, and a couple mid picks, I'd rather build the backbone of this team for the next 5 years then draft a superstar that will sputter in 2nd gear for 3 years without the help he needs and deserves.
We need depth. We need a lot of it. I know we filled a lot of needs in FA. Reggie ate a shit sandwich with extra mayo on Day 1, but he found a lot of good players. Quite admirably, I might add. But where does that leave us? We finally have starting talent on our starting lineup, then what? What happens when one of these guys gets clipped? The last several years we have seen game teams laid to waste by the epidemic injury bug. We start out well, and then when guys go down, we have no adequate replacement. Watching our O-Line and our secondary disintegrate last year was like watching a campfire smolder out for hours. Imagine having a few more big logs on that fire to keep it going all night. Everyone gets hit by the injury bug, but the better teams in the NFL have a lot more wood. More 2nd and 3rd round picks = more wood.
I've been doing tons of mocks on first-pick.com. I know, we all have. And the drafts I do with trading back are always unfuggin real. I know we're not going to have that kind of luck, and the simulator is anything but a realistic simulator, but guys will fall. An extra 2nd and 3rd will come in handy when they do. I did one at lunch today where I traded back with the Cowboys for an extra 2nd and 3rd. I drafted Gilbert, and Calvin Pryor fell to the 2nd, and Gabe Jackson and Jordan Matthews fell to the 3rd. That's the kind of stuff I'm talking about. I know the elites won't fall, but a lot of good guys will. I'd rather build with talent across the board then pinning all our hopes on one guy. We haven't had too much luck in the 1st round, anyways.
Besides, I know Reg and Dennis are allegedly fighting for their livelihoods, but they aren't winning the West this year. Even 8 games is a stretch with the slate Heir Goodell handed us this year. But the future is bright. Manning and Rivers will be packing soon. So will Brady. Wouldn't you rather have a loaded team like Seattle, to wipe the mat with them week in and week out when that happens? Or would you rather pin your hopes on one guy, and maybe get lucky, but not have the opportunity to do it year in and year out? If Mark has a brain he will know that building a dreadnought is done in years like this. You don't make millions on a thousand lottery tickets. You do it spending thousands on good investments and being patient.
That's what I got for now. My rant has ended. Feel free to disagree, that's what makes this community awesome. Have a great week my fellow Raider fans. Enjoy your draft parties, I know I will.