No one expected the spread for this game to be small. The Chiefs are sporting a 9-2 recording, having only lost to the Rams in LA and the Patriots in Foxboro. Now they come to Oakland to face the 2-9 Raiders in what figures to be a considerably lopsided game. How lopsided? Historically, according to oddsmakers.
The Chiefs are favored by 15.5 points by Bovada. According to VegasInsider.com is the largest spread for the Raiders at home in at least 20 years.
The Chiefs have the league’s top ranked offense, scoring 36.7 points per game and the Raiders have the 3rd worst defense, allowing 29.7 points per game. They’ve also averaged just 17 points per game offense. That’s usually a recipe for a rout.
The best chance the Raiders have to close the gap on the spread is the Chiefs defense has also been pretty bad this season, allowing 26.7 points per game. Though there have only been two teams in the past eight weeks to score above that average against them — Patriots (43) and Rams (54); their only two losses.
It’s not impossible for the Raiders to shock the Chiefs. They were 2-4 against the 5-1 Chiefs when they faced off for the first time in Oakland last season and won a 31-30 thriller. The Chiefs were oddly just 3-0 favorites in that game.